Jon Gibby has reviewed the form of last year's lightly raced two-year-olds and has picked out those that he believes have been allotted potentially lenient official ratings ahead of their three-year-old campaigns. Full summaries for each selection explain why they have been selected and they include guidance on their likely distance and going preferences.
The 2018 edition has so far produced 65 winners, including Landue who landed five handicaps and improved from an opening official rating of 61 to finish the season 28lbs higher on 89. Several big priced winners were found such as Diocletian 33/1, Kendergarten Kop 16/1 and Contrebasse 10/1. Since the book has been with the publishers one of this year's selections, Spirit Warning, has returned to action on the all-weather and has already won two handicaps at odds of 11/4 and 7/4. This is what the author wrote about Spirit Warning in this year's book
SPIRIT WARNING – OR 75 (PR 79) ?f/7.4f
This home-bred colt by Charm Spirit is out of the mare Averami who, despite
having been a modest racehorse, has excelled as a dam. Her offspring include five multiple winners, the best of which have been the 119 rated Side Glance and the 112 rated Rawaki. Most of her foals have stayed at least 12f. In view of the above it is significant that Spirit Warning’s trainer Andrew Balding had this to say about him to Steve Taplin: “He looks to be the best looking out of the dam so far. A nice type”. He had three runs between June and August and was then put away. His best run was his second when he stayed on well into second place in a 7f Epsom maiden. He achieved a RPR of 75 and the form has worked out quite well because the winner is now rated 85 after subsequently winning and placing and the third went on to finish second in a handicap off a mark of 72. This is a progressive family so Spirit Warning should be capable of better this season and if he improves for stepping up in trip as most of his siblings have done he should be able to win races off his current mark. It is early days for his sire Charm Spirit but the early evidence suggests that his progeny do best on fast turf but do comparatively poorly on the all-weather surfaces.
Paperback, 64 pages, published 1st March